Optimal Stopping in an Urn
Chen, Wen-chen ; Starr, Norman
Ann. Probab., Tome 8 (1980) no. 6, p. 451-464 / Harvested from Project Euclid
An urn contains $N$ objects, labelled with the integers $1, \cdots, N$. One object is removed at a time, without replacement. If after $n$ draws the largest number which has been observed is $m_n$, and the process is terminated, we receive a payoff $f(n, m_n)$. For payoff functions $f$ in a certain class, the optimal time to stop is with draw $$\tau_f = \inf\{n \geqslant 0: m_n - n \geqslant j_n\}$$ where the $j_n$ are computable from a simple algorithm, which permits also exact computation of the value $$V_f = E\{f(\tau_f, m_{\tau_f})\}.$$ We also study the behavior of $V_f$ when $N$ is large in special cases.
Publié le : 1980-06-14
Classification:  Optimal stopping,  secretary problem,  dynamic programming,  urn sampling,  myopic strategy,  maximum process,  62L15,  60G40
@article{1176994720,
     author = {Chen, Wen-chen and Starr, Norman},
     title = {Optimal Stopping in an Urn},
     journal = {Ann. Probab.},
     volume = {8},
     number = {6},
     year = {1980},
     pages = { 451-464},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1176994720}
}
Chen, Wen-chen; Starr, Norman. Optimal Stopping in an Urn. Ann. Probab., Tome 8 (1980) no. 6, pp.  451-464. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1176994720/