Nonparametric Binary Regression: A Bayesian Approach
Diaconis, P. ; Freedman, D. A.
Ann. Statist., Tome 21 (1993) no. 1, p. 2108-2137 / Harvested from Project Euclid
The performance of Bayes estimates are studied, under an assumption of conditional exchangeability. More exactly, for each subject in a data set, let $\xi$ be a vector of binary covariates and let $\eta$ be a binary response variable, with $P\{\eta = 1\mid \xi\} = f(\xi)$. Here, $f$ is an unknown function to be estimated from the data; the subjects are independent, and satisfy a natural "balance" condition. Define a prior distribution on $f$ as $\sum_kw_k\pi_k/\sum_kw_k$, where $\pi_k$ is uniform on the set of $f$ which only depend on the first $k$ covariates and $w_k > 0$ for infinitely many $k$. Bayes estimates are consistent at all $f$ if $w_k$ decreases rapidly as $k$ increase. Otherwise, the estimates are inconsistent at $f \equiv 1/2$.
Publié le : 1993-12-14
Classification:  Consistency,  Bayes estimates,  model selection,  binary regression,  62A15,  62E20
@article{1176349413,
     author = {Diaconis, P. and Freedman, D. A.},
     title = {Nonparametric Binary Regression: A Bayesian Approach},
     journal = {Ann. Statist.},
     volume = {21},
     number = {1},
     year = {1993},
     pages = { 2108-2137},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1176349413}
}
Diaconis, P.; Freedman, D. A. Nonparametric Binary Regression: A Bayesian Approach. Ann. Statist., Tome 21 (1993) no. 1, pp.  2108-2137. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1176349413/