Closed form expressions for Bayesian sample size
Clarke, B. ; Yuan, Ao
Ann. Statist., Tome 34 (2006) no. 1, p. 1293-1330 / Harvested from Project Euclid
Sample size criteria are often expressed in terms of the concentration of the posterior density, as controlled by some sort of error bound. Since this is done pre-experimentally, one can regard the posterior density as a function of the data. Thus, when a sample size criterion is formalized in terms of a functional of the posterior, its value is a random variable. Generally, such functionals have means under the true distribution. ¶ We give asymptotic expressions for the expected value, under a fixed parameter, for certain types of functionals of the posterior density in a Bayesian analysis. The generality of our treatment permits us to choose functionals that encapsulate a variety of inference criteria and large ranges of error bounds. Consequently, we get simple inequalities which can be solved to give minimal sample sizes needed for various estimation goals. In several parametric examples, we verify that our asymptotic bounds give good approximations to the expected values of the functionals they approximate. Also, our numerical computations suggest our treatment gives reasonable results.
Publié le : 2006-06-14
Classification:  Sample size,  Bayesian inference,  Edgeworth expansion,  asymptotic,  posterior distribution,  62F15,  62F12
@article{1152540750,
     author = {Clarke, B. and Yuan, Ao},
     title = {Closed form expressions for Bayesian sample size},
     journal = {Ann. Statist.},
     volume = {34},
     number = {1},
     year = {2006},
     pages = { 1293-1330},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1152540750}
}
Clarke, B.; Yuan, Ao. Closed form expressions for Bayesian sample size. Ann. Statist., Tome 34 (2006) no. 1, pp.  1293-1330. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1152540750/