Shrinkage priors for Bayesian prediction
Komaki, Fumiyasu
Ann. Statist., Tome 34 (2006) no. 1, p. 808-819 / Harvested from Project Euclid
We investigate shrinkage priors for constructing Bayesian predictive distributions. It is shown that there exist shrinkage predictive distributions asymptotically dominating Bayesian predictive distributions based on the Jeffreys prior or other vague priors if the model manifold satisfies some differential geometric conditions. Kullback–Leibler divergence from the true distribution to a predictive distribution is adopted as a loss function. Conformal transformations of model manifolds corresponding to vague priors are introduced. We show several examples where shrinkage predictive distributions dominate Bayesian predictive distributions based on vague priors.
Publié le : 2006-04-14
Classification:  Asymptotic theory,  conformal transformation,  information geometry,  Jeffreys prior,  Kullback–Leibler divergence,  vague prior,  62F15,  62C15
@article{1151418241,
     author = {Komaki, Fumiyasu},
     title = {Shrinkage priors for Bayesian prediction},
     journal = {Ann. Statist.},
     volume = {34},
     number = {1},
     year = {2006},
     pages = { 808-819},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1151418241}
}
Komaki, Fumiyasu. Shrinkage priors for Bayesian prediction. Ann. Statist., Tome 34 (2006) no. 1, pp.  808-819. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1151418241/