High moment partial sum processes of residuals in GARCH models and their applications
Kulperger, Reg ; Yu, Hao
Ann. Statist., Tome 33 (2005) no. 1, p. 2395-2422 / Harvested from Project Euclid
In this paper we construct high moment partial sum processes based on residuals of a GARCH model when the mean is known to be 0. We consider partial sums of kth powers of residuals, CUSUM processes and self-normalized partial sum processes. The kth power partial sum process converges to a Brownian process plus a correction term, where the correction term depends on the kth moment μk of the innovation sequence. If μk=0, then the correction term is 0 and, thus, the kth power partial sum process converges weakly to the same Gaussian process as does the kth power partial sum of the i.i.d. innovations sequence. In particular, since μ1=0, this holds for the first moment partial sum process, but fails for the second moment partial sum process. We also consider the CUSUM and the self-normalized processes, that is, standardized by the residual sample variance. These behave as if the residuals were asymptotically i.i.d. We also study the joint distribution of the kth and (k+1)st self-normalized partial sum processes. Applications to change-point problems and goodness-of-fit are considered, in particular, CUSUM statistics for testing GARCH model structure change and the Jarque–Bera omnibus statistic for testing normality of the unobservable innovation distribution of a GARCH model. The use of residuals for constructing a kernel density function estimation of the innovation distribution is discussed.
Publié le : 2005-10-14
Classification:  GARCH,  residuals,  high moment partial sum process,  weak convergence,  CUSUM,  omnibus,  skewness,  kurtosis,  sqrt{n} consistency,  60F17,  62M99,  62M10
@article{1132936567,
     author = {Kulperger, Reg and Yu, Hao},
     title = {High moment partial sum processes of residuals in GARCH models and their applications},
     journal = {Ann. Statist.},
     volume = {33},
     number = {1},
     year = {2005},
     pages = { 2395-2422},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1132936567}
}
Kulperger, Reg; Yu, Hao. High moment partial sum processes of residuals in GARCH models and their applications. Ann. Statist., Tome 33 (2005) no. 1, pp.  2395-2422. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1132936567/