We assume that the result of a football game depends upon the difference of the strengths of the teams, home-field advantage, random factors and also other components. We describe the goal outcome per game by independent Poisson random variables; we concentrate on expected values. The least squares estimators of the parameters are obtained. The study is illustrated by examples from the Italian and Polish leagues.
@article{bwmeta1.element.bwnjournal-article-doi-10_4064-am28-1-4,
author = {Boleslaw Kopoci\'nski},
title = {Components of the game result in a football league},
journal = {Applicationes Mathematicae},
volume = {28},
year = {2001},
pages = {55-72},
zbl = {1008.62548},
language = {en},
url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/bwmeta1.element.bwnjournal-article-doi-10_4064-am28-1-4}
}
Boleslaw Kopociński. Components of the game result in a football league. Applicationes Mathematicae, Tome 28 (2001) pp. 55-72. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/bwmeta1.element.bwnjournal-article-doi-10_4064-am28-1-4/