Statistical modeling of causal effects in continuous time
Lok, Judith J.
Ann. Statist., Tome 36 (2008) no. 1, p. 1464-1507 / Harvested from Project Euclid
This article studies the estimation of the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-an-event or on some other continuously distributed outcome. The paper applies to the situation where treatment is repeatedly adapted to time-dependent patient characteristics. The treatment effect cannot be estimated by simply conditioning on these time-dependent patient characteristics, as they may themselves be indications of the treatment effect. This time-dependent confounding is common in observational studies. Robins [(1992) Biometrika 79 321–334, (1998b) Encyclopedia of Biostatistics 6 4372–4389] has proposed the so-called structural nested models to estimate treatment effects in the presence of time-dependent confounding. In this article we provide a conceptual framework and formalization for structural nested models in continuous time. We show that the resulting estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. Moreover, as conjectured in Robins [(1998b) Encyclopedia of Biostatistics 6 4372–4389], a test for whether treatment affects the outcome of interest can be performed without specifying a model for treatment effect. We illustrate the ideas in this article with an example.
Publié le : 2008-06-15
Classification:  Causality in continuous time,  counterfactuals,  longitudinal data,  observational studies,  62P10,  62M99
@article{1211819571,
     author = {Lok, Judith J.},
     title = {Statistical modeling of causal effects in continuous time},
     journal = {Ann. Statist.},
     volume = {36},
     number = {1},
     year = {2008},
     pages = { 1464-1507},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1211819571}
}
Lok, Judith J. Statistical modeling of causal effects in continuous time. Ann. Statist., Tome 36 (2008) no. 1, pp.  1464-1507. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1211819571/