Let X|μ∼Np(μ, vxI) and Y|μ∼Np(μ, vyI) be independent p-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with common unknown mean μ. Based on observing X=x, we consider the problem of estimating the true predictive density p(y|μ) of Y under expected Kullback–Leibler loss. Our focus here is the characterization of admissible procedures for this problem. We show that the class of all generalized Bayes rules is a complete class, and that the easily interpretable conditions of Brown and Hwang [Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics (1982) III 205–230] are sufficient for a formal Bayes rule to be admissible.
@article{1211819560,
author = {Brown, Lawrence D. and George, Edward I. and Xu, Xinyi},
title = {Admissible predictive density estimation},
journal = {Ann. Statist.},
volume = {36},
number = {1},
year = {2008},
pages = { 1156-1170},
language = {en},
url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1211819560}
}
Brown, Lawrence D.; George, Edward I.; Xu, Xinyi. Admissible predictive density estimation. Ann. Statist., Tome 36 (2008) no. 1, pp. 1156-1170. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1211819560/