Bayes Rules for a Common Multiple Comparisons Problem and Related Student- $t$ Problems
Duncan, David B.
Ann. Math. Statist., Tome 32 (1961) no. 4, p. 1013-1033 / Harvested from Project Euclid
The paper is mainly concerned with the following multiple comparisons problem in the analysis of variance setting. In a balanced experiment $n$ treatments are to be compared. Each of the $\frac{1}{2}n(n - 1)$ pairwise comparisons is to be made, adjudging each difference as "positive", "negative", or "not significant"; overall decisions involving intransitivities are barred. The loss for each difference is proportional to the error; if a difference is asserted incorrectly the loss has proportionality constant $c_1$, if "not-significant" is the incorrect conclusion the proportionality constant is $c_0$; where $c_1 = k_1 + k_0, c_0 = k_0$ and $k_1 > k_0 > 0$. Total loss for the experiment is taken as the sum of the $\frac{1}{2}n(n - 1)$ component losses. The Bayes rule for any prior distribution is shown as a result to consist in the simultaneous application of Bayes rules to the $\frac{1}{2}n(n - 1)$ component problems. Each of these in turn is shown similarly to consist in the simultaneous application of Bayes rules to two subcomponent problems. The subcomponent Bayes rule for a normal prior density of treatment means is explicitly derived. The dependencies of the solution on the variance of the prior density, the degrees of freedom and the loss ratio $k_1/k_0$ are discussed. A principal finding is that the Bayes solution for the multiple comparisons problem corresponds to a tolerated error probability "of the first kind" for each single difference, that is independent of the number of treatments being compared.
Publié le : 1961-12-14
Classification: 
@article{1177704842,
     author = {Duncan, David B.},
     title = {Bayes Rules for a Common Multiple Comparisons Problem and Related Student- $t$ Problems},
     journal = {Ann. Math. Statist.},
     volume = {32},
     number = {4},
     year = {1961},
     pages = { 1013-1033},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1177704842}
}
Duncan, David B. Bayes Rules for a Common Multiple Comparisons Problem and Related Student- $t$ Problems. Ann. Math. Statist., Tome 32 (1961) no. 4, pp.  1013-1033. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1177704842/