Estimating and Testing Trend in a Stochastic Process of Poisson Type
Boswell, M. T.
Ann. Math. Statist., Tome 37 (1966) no. 6, p. 1564-1573 / Harvested from Project Euclid
Let $\{T_i: i = 1, 2, \cdots\}$ be a stochastic process of Poisson type, with $\lambda(t)$, the rate of occurrence of the events, depending on time. We may interpret $T_i$ as the time of occurrence of the $i$th event. In Section 2, starting with the joint density function of $T_1, \cdots, T_n$, the maximum likelihood estimate of $\lambda(t)$ subject to $0 \leqq \lambda (t) \leqq M$ being a non-decreasing function of time ($M$ some positive number) is found. In Section 3, starting with the conditional joint density of $T_1, \cdots, T_n$ given there are $n$ events in $(0, t^\ast\rbrack$, the conditional maximum likelihood estimate of $\lambda(t)$ subject to $0 \leqq \lambda(t)$ being a non-decreasing function of time is found. In Section 4, the conditional likelihood ratio test of the hypothesis that $\lambda(t)$ is constant against the alternate hypothesis that $\lambda(t)$ is not constant but is nondecreasing is found, and a limiting distribution is found which may be used to approximate the probability of a type I error for large sample size. Theorem 2.1 (Brunk-van Eeden), I believe is important in its own right. It is contained in the works of Brunk and van Eeden, although it is not explicitly stated. This theorem can be used as a basis for tests of hypotheses for constant parameters against increasing parameters or for increasing parameters against all other alternatives.
Publié le : 1966-12-14
Classification: 
@article{1177699148,
     author = {Boswell, M. T.},
     title = {Estimating and Testing Trend in a Stochastic Process of Poisson Type},
     journal = {Ann. Math. Statist.},
     volume = {37},
     number = {6},
     year = {1966},
     pages = { 1564-1573},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1177699148}
}
Boswell, M. T. Estimating and Testing Trend in a Stochastic Process of Poisson Type. Ann. Math. Statist., Tome 37 (1966) no. 6, pp.  1564-1573. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1177699148/