Probability-Centered Prediction Regions
Beran, Rudolf
Ann. Statist., Tome 21 (1993) no. 1, p. 1967-1981 / Harvested from Project Euclid
Consider the problem of constructing a prediction region $D_n$ for a potentially observable variable $X$ on the basis of a learning sample of size $n$. Usually, the requirement that $D_n$ contain $X$ with probability $\alpha$, conditionally on the learning sample, does not uniquely determine $D_n$. This paper develops a general probability-centering concept for prediction regions that extends to vector-valued or function-valued $X$ the classical notion of an equal-tailed prediction interval. The dual requirements of probability centering and specified coverage probability determine $D_n$ uniquely. Several examples illustrate the scope and consequences of the proposed centering concept.
Publié le : 1993-12-14
Classification:  Simultaneous prediction intervals,  bootstrap,  design goals,  62M20,  62G09
@article{1176349405,
     author = {Beran, Rudolf},
     title = {Probability-Centered Prediction Regions},
     journal = {Ann. Statist.},
     volume = {21},
     number = {1},
     year = {1993},
     pages = { 1967-1981},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1176349405}
}
Beran, Rudolf. Probability-Centered Prediction Regions. Ann. Statist., Tome 21 (1993) no. 1, pp.  1967-1981. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1176349405/