Limit theorems for a class of identically distributed random variables
Berti, Patrizia ; Pratelli, Luca ; Rigo, Pietro
Ann. Probab., Tome 32 (2004) no. 1A, p. 2029-2052 / Harvested from Project Euclid
A new type of stochastic dependence for a sequence of random variables is introduced and studied. Precisely, (Xn)n≥1 is said to be conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.), with respect to a filtration $(\mathcal{G}_{n})_{n\geq 0}$ , if it is adapted to $(\mathcal{G}_{n})_{n\geq 0}$ and, for each n≥0, (Xk)k>n is identically distributed given the past $\mathcal{G}_{n}$ . In case $\mathcal{G}_{0}=\{\varnothing,\Omega\}$ and $\mathcal{G}_{n}=\sigma(X_{1},\ldots,X_{n})$ , a result of Kallenberg implies that (Xn)n≥1 is exchangeable if and only if it is stationary and c.i.d. After giving some natural examples of nonexchangeable c.i.d. sequences, it is shown that (Xn)n≥1 is exchangeable if and only if (Xτ(n))n≥1 is c.i.d. for any finite permutation τ of {1,2,…}, and that the distribution of a c.i.d. sequence agrees with an exchangeable law on a certain sub-σ-field. Moreover, (1/n)∑k=1nXk converges a.s. and in L1 whenever (Xn)n≥1 is (real-valued) c.i.d. and E[|X1|]<∞. As to the CLT, three types of random centering are considered. One such centering, significant in Bayesian prediction and discrete time filtering, is $E[X_{n+1}\vert \mathcal{G}_{n}]$ . For each centering, convergence in distribution of the corresponding empirical process is analyzed under uniform distance.
Publié le : 2004-07-14
Classification:  Central limit theorem,  convergence [almost sure, in distribution, σ(L^{1},L^{∞}), stable],  empirical process,  exchangeability,  strong law of large numbers,  uniform limit theorem,  60B10,  60G09,  60F05,  60F15
@article{1089808418,
     author = {Berti, Patrizia and Pratelli, Luca and Rigo, Pietro},
     title = {Limit theorems for a class of identically distributed random variables},
     journal = {Ann. Probab.},
     volume = {32},
     number = {1A},
     year = {2004},
     pages = { 2029-2052},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1089808418}
}
Berti, Patrizia; Pratelli, Luca; Rigo, Pietro. Limit theorems for a class of identically distributed random variables. Ann. Probab., Tome 32 (2004) no. 1A, pp.  2029-2052. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1089808418/