We provide a qualitative analysis of a system of nonlinear differential equations that model the spread of alcoholism through a population. Alcoholism is viewed as an infectious disease and the model treats it within a SIR framework. The model exhibits two generic types of steady-state diagram. The first of these is qualitatively the same as the steady-state diagram in the standard sir model. The second exhibits a backwards transcritical bifurcation. As a consequence of this, there is a region of bistability in which a population of problem drinkers can be sustained, even when the reproduction number is less than one. We obtain a succinct formula for this scenario when the transition between these two cases occurs. doi:10.1017/S1446181117000347
@article{10721, title = {The demon drink}, journal = {ANZIAM Journal}, volume = {59}, year = {2018}, doi = {10.21914/anziamj.v59i0.10721}, language = {EN}, url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/10721} }
Nelson, Mark Ian; Hagedoorn, Peter; Worthy, Annette L. The demon drink. ANZIAM Journal, Tome 59 (2018) . doi : 10.21914/anziamj.v59i0.10721. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/10721/