This paper analyzes the performance of importance sampling
distributions for computing expectations with respect to a whole family of
probability laws in the context of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation methods.
Motivations for such a study arise in statistics as well as in statistical
physics. Two choices of importance sampling distributions are considered in
detail: mixtures of the distributions of interest and distributions that are
"uniform over energy levels" (motivated by physical applications). We
analyze two examples, a "witch's hat" distribution and the mean field
Ising model, to illustrate the advantages that such simulation procedures are
expected to offer in a greater generality. The connection with the recently
proposed simulated tempering method is also examined.
@article{1029962870,
author = {Madras, Neal and Piccioni, Mauro},
title = {Importance sampling for families of distributions},
journal = {Ann. Appl. Probab.},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
year = {1999},
pages = { 1202-1225},
language = {en},
url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1029962870}
}
Madras, Neal; Piccioni, Mauro. Importance sampling for families of distributions. Ann. Appl. Probab., Tome 9 (1999) no. 1, pp. 1202-1225. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1029962870/