Consider the performance of an options writer who misspecifies the
dynamics of the price process of the underlying asset by overestimating asset
price volatility. When does he overprice the option? If he follows the hedging
strategy suggested by his model, when does the terminal value of his strategy
dominate the option payout?
¶ We show that both these events happen if the option payoff is a
convex function of the price of the underlying at maturity. The proofs involve
the simple, powerful and intuitive techniques of coupling.
@article{1027961040,
author = {Hobson, David G.},
title = {Volatility misspecification, option pricing and superreplication
via coupling},
journal = {Ann. Appl. Probab.},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
year = {1998},
pages = { 193-205},
language = {en},
url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1027961040}
}
Hobson, David G. Volatility misspecification, option pricing and superreplication
via coupling. Ann. Appl. Probab., Tome 8 (1998) no. 1, pp. 193-205. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1027961040/