The problem of regions
Efron, Bradley ; Tibshirani, Robert
Ann. Statist., Tome 26 (1998) no. 3, p. 1687-1718 / Harvested from Project Euclid
In the problem of regions, we wish to know which one of a discrete set of possibilities applies to a continuous parameter vector. This problem arises in the following way: we compute a descriptive statistic from a set of data, notice an interesting feature and wish to assign a confidence level to that feature. For example, we compute a density estimate and notice that the estimate is bimodal. What confidence can we assign to bimodality? A natural way to measure confidence is via the bootstrap: we compute our descriptive statistic on a large number of bootstrap data sets and record the proportion of times that the feature appears. This seems like a plausible measure of confidence for the feature. The paper studies the construction of such confidence values and examines to what extent they approximate frequentist $p$-values and Bayesian a posteriori probabilities. We derive more accurate confidence levels using both frequentist and objective Bayesian approaches. The methods are illustrated with a number of examples, including polynomial model selection and estimating the number of modes of a density.
Publié le : 1998-10-14
Classification:  Discrete estimation problems,  objective Bayes methods,  bootstrap reweighting,  metric-free methods,  Primary 62G10,  secondary 62G09
@article{1024691353,
     author = {Efron, Bradley and Tibshirani, Robert},
     title = {The problem of regions},
     journal = {Ann. Statist.},
     volume = {26},
     number = {3},
     year = {1998},
     pages = { 1687-1718},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1024691353}
}
Efron, Bradley; Tibshirani, Robert. The problem of regions. Ann. Statist., Tome 26 (1998) no. 3, pp.  1687-1718. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1024691353/