Hidden Markov models (HMMs) have during the last decade become a
widespread tool for modeling sequences of dependent random variables. Inference
for such models is usually based on the maximum-likelihood estimator (MLE), and
consistency of the MLE for general HMMs was recently proved by Leroux. In this
paper we show that under mild conditions the MLE is also asymptotically normal
and prove that the observed information matrix is a consistent estimator of the
Fisher information.
@article{1024691255,
author = {Bickel, Peter J. and Ritov, Ya'acov and Ryd\'en, Tobias},
title = {Asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator for
general hidden Markov models},
journal = {Ann. Statist.},
volume = {26},
number = {3},
year = {1998},
pages = { 1614-1635},
language = {en},
url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1024691255}
}
Bickel, Peter J.; Ritov, Ya’acov; Rydén, Tobias. Asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator for
general hidden Markov models. Ann. Statist., Tome 26 (1998) no. 3, pp. 1614-1635. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1024691255/