We study the two-dimensional process of integrated Brownian motion
and Brownian motion, where integrated Brownian motion is conditioned to be
positive. The transition density of this process is derived from the asymptotic
behavior of hitting times of the unconditioned process. Explicit expressions
for the transition density in terms of confluent hypergeometric functions are
derived, and it is shown how our results on the hitting time distributions
imply previous results of Isozaki-Watanabe and Goldman. The conditioned process
is characterized by a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) for
which we prove an existence and unicity result. Some sample path properties are
derived from the SDEs and it is shown that $t \to t^{9/10}$ is a
“critical curve” for the conditioned process in the sense that
the expected time that the integral part of the conditioned process spends
below any curve $t \to t^{\alpha}$ is finite for $\alpha < 9 /10$ and
infinite for $\alpha \geq 9/10$.
@article{1022677447,
author = {Groeneboom, Piet and Jongbloed, Geurt and Wellner, Jon A.},
title = {Integrated Brownian Motion, Conditioned to be Positive},
journal = {Ann. Probab.},
volume = {27},
number = {1},
year = {1999},
pages = { 1283-1303},
language = {en},
url = {http://dml.mathdoc.fr/item/1022677447}
}
Groeneboom, Piet; Jongbloed, Geurt; Wellner, Jon A. Integrated Brownian Motion, Conditioned to be Positive. Ann. Probab., Tome 27 (1999) no. 1, pp. 1283-1303. http://gdmltest.u-ga.fr/item/1022677447/